It's not enough to win the election. You also have to win the mandate of your political party and the public that votes for you.
What kind of mandate will Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton get if she wins? Much depends on her margin of victory… and her coattails.
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has indicated that he does not intend to concede, even if Republican leaders try to concede for him. Trump is already claiming the election is rigged. If he loses narrowly he will likely insist the election was stolen.
Asked in the final debate whether he would accept the election result if he loses, Trump’s response was shocking: “I will tell you at the time. I will keep you in suspense.”
Don't expect Trump to fade away quietly. He's making plans to start Trump TV in order to give him a platform from which he can harass President Clinton. He could become the creepy clown of American politics for years to come.
A close election will be interpreted to mean that Clinton won only because she is not Trump. Trump's supporters will rally behind him and protest Clinton's victory up to – and beyond – her inauguration in January.
They will denounce her as an illegitimate president. They will pressure Republicans in Congress to block everything she tries to do. If her victory does not produce big Democratic gains in Congress, Republicans will feel emboldened to defy her. A narrow victory means endless gridlock.
A landslide Clinton victory may be tough. As a Democrat who was part of the Obama administration, she is the candidate of the status quo. The fact that Clinton would be the first woman elected President does not appear to be generating much excitement, especially among younger women.
But there's a lot of discontent in the country and it's not confined to Trump enthusiasts. All this year, around 70 percent of Americans told the Gallup poll they are not satisfied with the way things are going in the United States. Trump tried to claim the change issue for himself when he said at the end of the debate, “We cannot take four more years of Barack Obama, and that’s what you get when you get her.”
The Clinton campaign understands that there is a market for change in the country. That's why her husband told the Democratic convention in August, “She is the best darn change-maker I have ever known,” adding, “She always wants to move the ball forward.”
That's what “change” means for Clinton: “moving the ball forward,” as opposed to radical disruptions proposed by Trump. With Hillary Clinton in the White House, expect to see more of the same as under Obama administration and that path clearly leads to WW III.
Here’s why…
Exponential increases in asset values, sovereign debt, and commodity prices around the globe will set the stage for WW III.
Why Debt…
Our financial systems create exponential increases in:
- Debt
- Prices for stocks
- Prices for commodities
- Currency in circulation
- Prices for gold and silver
How Debt will set the Stage for WW III…
Fractional reserve banking, central banks creating more currency, and politicians who spend governments deeper into debt each year… but this article isn’t about why. It’s about how!
Student loan debt in the U.S. is about $1.4 trillion, auto debt is about $1 trillion, official national debt is nearly $20 trillion, corporate debt is huge and the list goes on. Much of it will never be paid in current dollars. Default will occur via repudiation [denial] or hyperinflation… either way, the nuclear enabled countries of the world with population of 7 billion─ educated, connected, and easily armed─ will create the trappings of the next WW III between ‘Have’s’ and the ‘Have-Nots’ of the world.
Look at the official US national debt for one example…
Official national debt has increased exponentially since 1913 and somewhat more rapidly since 2001. Project out another ten years and we see the following:
Increasing debt at about the same rate as the past 30 years projects it north of $40 trillion in 10 years. However, before the massive increase in debt expect to see new wars, more social programs, out of control Medicare spending, and 100 other items on the “out of control” list.
Exponential increases in total debt are also seen in the increases in the net deficits. The following shows the net increase in debt every eight years:
But along with exponential increases in debt and deficits we also see similar increases in the S&P:
The S&P has increased from about 200 to over 2,000 in 30 years, with a number of significant crashes during that time. Silver has increased from an annual average of about $4 to a peak over $48 since 1990.
Our financial systems exponentially increase the quantity of currency in circulation and consequently the prices for practically everything increase. Think college tuition, medical care, beer, cigarettes, food, gold, silver, postage and more. A few prices have come down or increased more slowly, such as televisions and computers, thanks to technological innovations.
But on average prices for almost everything, including stocks, have increased since 1913 and will continue to increase until our economy is crushed with a major financial and economic reset. Until then, expect erratically higher prices, UNLESS:
- Congress balances the budget
- Central banks stop creating currencies
- Governments reduce total employees, expenses and taxes
- Armed Forces are reduced in size and expense
- Medicare expenses are capped or reduced
Clearly none of the above will happen in our current world.
In ten years, given the exponential increases shown above, and assuming, more or less, current economic craziness continues without a massive “reset” then the S&P could be approximately 4,000, the silver to S&P ratio could be around 3.0, and the annual average price for silver could be roughly $100 – $150, with potential price spikes several times higher.
Can we expect the exponential increases from the past 100 years to continue?
- Of course not! All exponentially growing systems eventually crash. When is difficult to estimate.
- WW III would change circumstances for most people, countries, and commodity prices. Nuclear war could happen accidentally or intentionally to cover and distract attention from criminal behavior, massive fraud, crashing economies, and policy failures. I trust other options will be used and we will be spared the devastation of WW III… but it is possible.
- The next U.S. president is likely to increase borrowing and spending… especially under Hillary Clinton tenure. Much “free stuff” has been promised and “fiscal stimulus” will prevail. Perhaps she will push systems into hyper-inflationary mode, either accidentally or intentionally. In that case prices will be much higher. Reminder: Argentina has devalued its peso, compared to the US dollar, by 10 trillion to one since the 1950s. It can happen anywhere.
CONCLUSIONS:
[Curated content based on excerpts from posts, blogs, media articles, and sponsored research]